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Brandon Blog Post

Toronto Business Closures Are Surging: Why BMO’s Per-Capita Insolvency Argument Misses the Bigger Picture

Two professionals reviewing a cash flow forecast and strategic restructuring plan for a Toronto business

I hope you, your family, and your Toronto business are safe and managing as well as possible in a difficult economic environment. If you are a GTA business owner watching sales weaken, costs rise, or creditors become more persistent, you are not alone, and asking for help early is not a sign of failure. It is a practical step towards regaining control.

The latest Toronto business and Canadian insolvency data tell a complicated story. New businesses continue to open, but an unusually large number are also closing. At the same time, formal insolvency filings are rising, while many households and businesses may be managing distress outside the formal insolvency system.

Toronto Business: Key Takeaways

  • The Toronto Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) recorded approximately 10,870 Toronto business openings in April 2026, the highest April level in at least 11 years.
  • Toronto also recorded approximately 10,720 Toronto business closures, the second-highest April total on record, behind only April 2020.
  • Active businesses fell to 187,700 in April 2026, marking a seventh consecutive monthly decline and the lowest level since June 2022.
  • Canada recorded 13,254 insolvency filings in June 2026, up 11.5% year over year and more than double the June 2020 volume.
  • BMO Capital Markets’ per-capita analysis provides one useful perspective. Still, it does not capture who has access to credit, who is filing, or how many businesses and households are struggling without filing.
  • For Toronto business owners, early advice from an accountant and a Licensed Insolvency Trustee can preserve more restructuring options.

Toronto Business: Highlights

Toronto Business: What is Toronto business data telling us?

The Toronto CMA is experiencing both entrepreneurial activity and business contraction at the same time.

According to Better Dwelling’s August 5, 2026 report, approximately 10,870 businesses opened in April 2026. That was the most openings recorded for an April in at least 11 years.

That might sound encouraging. It is.

However, approximately 10,720 businesses also closed during the month. This was the second-highest April closure total on record, surpassed only by April 2020, when pandemic lockdowns disrupted the economy.

The result is a high-churn environment. Toronto business churn means businesses are opening and closing at an unusually rapid rate. Churn can reflect innovation and opportunity, but it can also indicate that owners are entering markets without enough financial cushion to withstand weaker demand, higher operating costs, tighter credit, or delayed customer payments.

The number of active businesses in the Toronto CMA fell to 187,700 in April 2026. This was the seventh consecutive monthly decline. The active Toronto business count was down approximately 0.9% year over year and at its lowest level since June 2022, nearly a four-year low.

This is the real-world business story behind the headline. Toronto is not simply seeing fewer businesses. It is seeing significant movement in both directions, while the total base of active businesses continues to shrink.

Business professionals reviewing positive and negative cash flow Toronto business projections during a restructuring discussion

Toronto Business: Why is BMO’s per-capita argument incomplete?

BMO Capital Markets senior economist Robert Kavcic has offered a perspective that deserves to be understood fairly.

As reported by Better Dwelling on August 13, 2026, Mr. Kavcic acknowledged that consumer insolvencies were near the highest level since the 2009 recession. His argument was that, after adjusting for Canada’s population growth, insolvencies had “basically just normalized back to pre-pandemic conditions.”

He concluded that “the real story is that there is really no story.”

A per-capita measure, a calculation that divides a total by the size of the population, can be useful. It can help compare conditions across different time periods when the population has changed. BMO is right that raw totals do not tell the entire story.

The difficulty is that population growth does not necessarily equal comparable growth in credit exposure.

Better Dwelling reported that approximately 40% of Canada’s population growth over the past five years came from non-permanent residents, including temporary workers and international students. These groups typically have more limited access to unsecured credit, the type of credit that does not require collateral.

That matters because consumer insolvency filers often have an established borrowing history. According to the Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy data cited by Better Dwelling, 57% of consumer insolvency filers in 2024 had a bank loan, with a median value of approximately $20,000. In addition, one in five filers had filed before.

This profile does not necessarily match the typical non-permanent resident. Therefore, using total population as the denominator may dilute the apparent rate of insolvency without accurately measuring the financial stress among established borrowers.

The broader lesson is not that per-capita statistics are useless. The lesson is that they must be qualified. A business owner, lender, policymaker, or household needs to know not only how many people live in Canada, but also who is borrowing, who is falling behind, and who is taking formal action.

The June 2026 figures remain significant. Canada recorded 13,254 insolvency filings, an 11.5% increase from June 2025 and more than double the June 2020 volume. Only June 2009 recorded more filings. The trailing 12-month total reached approximately 150,505 filings, up 5.3% year over year.

Those numbers do not prove that every household or Toronto business is in crisis. They do show that financial distress is material and deserves more than a single reassuring ratio.

Toronto Business: What kinds of financial distress are being missed?

Raw insolvency counts and per-capita ratios can both understate the pressure facing the economy because they capture only part of the problem.

There are at least three different forms of financial distress:

Form of distressWhat it isHow it appears in the dataWhy it matters to a business owner
Formal insolvency filingA bankruptcy or proposal filed under Canada’s insolvency legislation. A proposal is a formal arrangement intended to compromise or restructure debts.It appears in official insolvency statistics reported by the OSB.It may provide legal protection and a structured path forward, but waiting too long can reduce available options.
Silent business closureA business stops operating, winds down, or does not renew operations without making a formal insolvency filing.It appears in business-opening and business-closure data, but not necessarily in insolvency statistics.Suppliers, employees, landlords, and customers may still be affected. The owner may also remain personally exposed through guarantees or other obligations.
Household debt stressA household manages financial pressure through arrears, refinancing, payment deferrals, or high-interest credit without filing an insolvency proceeding.It may appear indirectly in arrears or credit data and may not appear in formal insolvency counts for months or years.Household stress can reduce consumer spending, delay business payments, and weaken the customer base on which a business depends.

Insolvency is also a lagging indicator. That means a formal filing often occurs after months or years of financial deterioration. Before filing, a business may have used savings, borrowed from family, increased credit-card balances, refinanced assets, delayed tax remittances, or negotiated informal payment arrangements.

By the time the filing appears in the statistics, the underlying financial pressure may already be much more severe.

This is why a Toronto business owner should not wait for a formal insolvency number, or a missed payment, to decide whether advice is necessary. Early advice is about information, not commitment.

Toronto Business: What does this mean for GTA business owners?

For a GTA business owner, the important question is not whether the economy is technically “normal” on a per-capita basis. The important questions are more immediate:

  • Are sales sufficient to cover operating costs?
  • Are customers paying more slowly?
  • Are supplier terms becoming stricter?
  • Are tax arrears accumulating?
  • Are loan renewals or refinancing becoming more difficult?
  • Have you used personal credit to support the company?
  • Have you signed personal guarantees for corporate borrowing or leases?
  • Is the Toronto business profitable before debt payments, but unable to meet its total obligations?

A company can be viable, meaning it has a fundamentally workable business model, while still being financially unsound because of accumulated debt, temporary cash-flow disruption, or an unsustainable repayment schedule.

That distinction is important. A viable company may have restructuring options that disappear if the owner waits until assets are seized, key employees leave, or critical suppliers stop extending credit.

A corporate restructuring plan may involve negotiating with creditors, changing payment terms, selling non-core assets, reducing expenses, or using a formal proposal. A commercial proposal, sometimes called a Division I Proposal, is a legal process that can allow a financially troubled but viable company to compromise debts and continue operating, subject to the required approvals.

The right solution depends on the company’s structure, assets, liabilities, cash flow, tax position, employees, secured lenders, and personal guarantees. There is no universal answer.

Businessperson protected by a shield representing a Toronto business director protection and early insolvency advice

Toronto Business: What should a worried business owner do now?

If you are concerned about your GTA or City of Toronto business, I recommend taking these steps:

  1. Prepare a current cash-flow forecast.
    List expected sales receipts, payroll, rent, taxes, loan payments, supplier obligations, and other essential expenses. A cash-flow forecast is a practical estimate of money coming in and going out over a defined period.
  2. Speak with your accountant early.
    Your accountant can help identify profitability problems, tax obligations, cash-flow gaps, and whether the business can realistically recover under its current structure.
  3. Consult a Licensed Insolvency Trustee.
    A Licensed Insolvency Trustee can explain formal options, including a proposal or bankruptcy, and help distinguish between corporate obligations and your personal exposure.
  4. Review personal guarantees and director liability.
    If you personally guaranteed a corporate loan, lease, credit facility, or supplier account, the corporation’s financial problems may affect you directly. Certain tax and payroll obligations can also create potential director exposure. Obtain professional advice before transferring assets, repaying selected creditors, or closing the company.
  5. Assess whether the core business is viable.
    Ask whether the company can generate positive operating cash flow after a realistic restructuring of its debt and costs. If the answer is yes, a restructuring proposal may be a lifeline. If not, an orderly wind-down may be more appropriate.
  6. Act before the crisis becomes irreversible.
    Early action does not mean you have decided to file. It means you are preserving information, time, credibility, and options.

We know the tension placed upon Toronto business owners and their families. It is not your hope, commitment, or personal worth that these statistics measure. Financial distress is a business problem that requires a business solution.

For additional context, our discussion of commercial proposals and corporate restructuring explains how a formal proposal may help a viable company continue operations. Our article on personal bankruptcy also discusses why a corporation and its owner must be assessed separately.

Toronto Business: Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Are Toronto’s business closures the same as business insolvencies?

No. A business closure means an operation has stopped or ceased to be active. It does not necessarily mean the business filed a bankruptcy or proposal. Some businesses close quietly, while others may restructure informally or continue under a different ownership or operating model.

Does BMO’s per-capita analysis have value?

Yes. Per-capita analysis can help account for population changes. The concern is relying on it alone. It may not reflect differences in credit access, borrowing behaviour, business exposure, or the number of people experiencing stress without filing.

Why are insolvency filings considered a lagging indicator?

A formal insolvency filing often follows a long period of missed payments, borrowing, refinancing, arrears, or attempts to negotiate with creditors. The filing is usually evidence that earlier coping strategies have stopped working.

Should I wait until my business misses a payment before seeking advice?

No. Early advice is generally more useful because it allows you to understand your options before creditors take enforcement action, suppliers withdraw terms, or essential assets become unavailable. A consultation does not obligate you to file.

Can a business owner be personally responsible for corporate debt?

Possibly. Personal guarantees, the legal structure of the business, and certain tax or payroll obligations can create personal exposure. This is fact-specific, so speak with your accountant and a Licensed Insolvency Trustee before making major financial decisions.

Is a proposal the same as bankruptcy?

No. A proposal is a formal arrangement to compromise or restructure debts, while bankruptcy is a separate legal process. Whether a proposal is appropriate depends on the company’s viability, assets, liabilities, cash flow, and creditor situation.

The message for Toronto and the GTA is balanced but clear: new businesses are still being created, but active businesses are declining, closures are elevated, and formal insolvency filings are rising. That is a story worth paying attention to, not to create panic, but to encourage timely, informed action.

Source note: Statistics and quotations in this article are based on the two Better Dwelling reports published on August 5, 2026, and August 13, 2026. The underlying Statistics Canada and Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy data are attributed as reported by Better Dwelling. BMO’s position is attributed to BMO Capital Markets senior economist Robert Kavcic.

Starting Over, Starting Now

Don’t let financial uncertainty dictate your future. If you or your business is struggling with debt, losing sleep, or facing legal action, contact Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. today.

We offer a free, confidential consultation to discuss your situation, explain your options in plain language, and help you develop a clear, actionable plan. Our team of Licensed Insolvency Trustees is dedicated to providing the compassionate, professional support you need to regain control and achieve a debt-free life.

Take the first step towards a brighter financial future; call us now.

Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. is licensed by the Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy. Ira and Brandon Smith are members of the Canadian Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Professionals.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is based on the cited sources and professional expertise as a Licensed Insolvency Trustee. The information provided does not constitute legal or financial advice for your specific circumstances. Every situation is unique; the outcomes discussed may not apply to your particular case. Please contact Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. to discuss your specific needs.

About the Author:

Ira Smith is President at Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. and a Licensed Insolvency Trustee serving clients across Ontario. His experience includes consumer insolvency and complex court-ordered receivership and corporate bankruptcy administration, giving him practical insight into navigating challenging financial situations to achieve optimal outcomes for businesses, creditors, and professionals. Ira stays current with landmark developments in Canadian insolvency law, ensuring his clients benefit from a cutting-edge understanding of their rights and options.Image of a worried business owner as Toronto business closures are increasing in 2026

#TorontoBusiness #GTABusiness #BusinessClosures #CorporateRestructuring #BusinessInsolvency #DebtRestructuring #CommercialProposal #DivisionIProposal #BusinessBankruptcy #FinancialDistress #LicensedInsolvencyTrustee #StartingOverStartingNow

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Brandon Blog Post

SEARS CANADA IS CLOSING: THE #1 REASON YOU HAVE TO RUN AND NOT JUST WALK TO REDEEM YOUR GIFT CARDS AND CREDITS

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Sears Canada is closing: Introduction

It is the end of a Canadian retail symbol. Sears Canada is closing every one of its remaining 130 stores. After 65 years of business in Canada, Sears Canada is closing.

On Friday, October 13, 2017, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice Commercial List, under the Sears Canada CCAA process, issued the liquidation order. The final Sears Canada liquidation sale will begin and then the final Sears Canada stores closing happens. The reason for this is because there were no practical Sears Canada bids for the Court to consider from the entire bid process. The only alternative was complete liquidation. So the Court has now ordered that Sears Canada is closing.

Sears Canada is closing: I hate to say I told you so, but on June 21, 2017…

I gave the history of Sears Canada in my June 21, 2017 vlog, SEARS CANADA CLOSING DOWN: THE SEARS CANADA NEWS RELEASE LEADS ME TO THIS CONCLUSION. I also talked about the problems today in the North American retail industry and provided my personal belief that:

“Sears Canada are as good as finished. It is just currently an issue of time before the last pieces are marketed and sold.”

So, that we now know Sears Canada is closing is not a surprise to me or my readers.

Sears Canada is closing: I hate to say I told you so, but on August 2, 2017…

In my August 2, 2017 vlog, SEARS CANADA NEWS TODAY: ARE THEY SABOTAGING THEIR OWN RESTRUCTURING?, I talked about the public backlash at that time. I spoke about the social media campaign against the Sears Canada key employee retention program (KERP) proposed payments to senior management.

This KERP program implementation happened while the ordinary Sears Canada employees and retirees were being hurt. They knew they were not going to receive all of their benefits and pension payments or any severance or termination pay.

I then provided my personal assessment that:

“You must wonder if Sears Canada really wants to restructure, or if they are just liquidating their inventory. They are also trying to sell whatever other assets they can. If it was a true restructuring, you would think that senior management would want to see more customers who would be loyal to (the new) Sears Canada when it would exit bankruptcy protection.”

We now see that there is no possibility of restructuring. Just a Sears Canada liquidation and then Sears Canada is closing. I am proud of my professional opinions. However, it gives me no joy to see that the remaining 12,000+ Sears Canada employees will for sure now end up on the Sears Canada list of creditors.

Sears Canada is closing: I hate to say I told you so, but on September 27, 2017…

In my September 27, 2017 vlog, “TORONTO BUSINESS BANKRUPTCY PROTECTION: NDP WANTS FEDERAL INSOLVENCY LAWS CHANGED SO THERE IS PENSION PLAN SECURITY WHEN FINANCIALLY TROUBLED BUSINESSES FAIL”, I told you about Hamilton Mountain MP Scott Duvall. He is the New Democrats’ pension plan critic. He said that he will present a private member’s bill to secure employees’ pension plans and benefits. His bill will also pressure business to offer termination or severance pay, prior to paying secured lenders.

Mr. Duvall anticipated that Sears Canada is closing. We will have to see if his effort gets any traction.

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sears canada is closing

Sears Canada is closing: The liquidation agreement

The Company intends to begin the liquidation sales by today. So you’re going to see offers at existing Sears Canada stores. Many of the store employees will keep their job during the liquidation. However, most of the 800 or so staff members at Sears head office in Toronto have now been let go.

Sears Canada became part of an Agency Arrangement with a legal joint venture. It consists of:

  • Gordon Brothers Canada ULC;
  • Merchant Retail Solutions ULC (collectively, with Tiger Capital Group, LLC and GA Retail Canada ULC.

The liquidation agreement dated October 7, 2017 has arisen from the solicitation procedure. BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (“BMO”), the Sears Canada financial advisor, obtained proposals from 7 prospective liquidators. The liquidation proposals were to help the Sears Canada Group with liquidating the inventory, furniture, fixtures and equipment remaining throughout Canada.

Sears Canada is closing: How the liquidation will work

The liquidation is to begin no later than October 19, 2017. The liquidation sales will continue for 10 to 14 weeks. The outside day for finishing the liquidation sale right now is January 21, 2018.

The liquidation will take place at all remaining Sears Canada full-line and home store locations. It may also happen at some of the Sears Canada distribution centres. Sears Canada will receive a guaranteed minimum recovery of:

  • 83% of the cost value of the inventory included in the liquidation sale at the full-line stores; and
  • 52.5% of the cost value of the inventory included in the liquidation sale at the Sears Home stores, subject to certain exceptions.

You may be able to snap up some bargains to put under your Christmas tree as Sears Canada is closing.

Sears Canada is closing: The honouring of Sears Canada gift cards, gift certificates, merchandise credits

Although Sears Canada is closing, gift cards and certificates and merchandise credits are honoured. No gift cards or certificates will be sold. Returns will not be allowed when it comes to any kind of goods offered throughout this Sears Canada liquidation process or the liquidation approved earlier by the Court on July 18, 2017. The Company will then have a time period to clean up and vacate the stores while Sears Canada is closing.

Sears Canada is closing: A Sears Canada warranty won’t be honoured

As far as warranty claims, if the warranty is from a third-party, then you may claim on any warranty for a product purchased at Sears. If it is a Sears Canada warranty, then you are out of luck. That warranty is now worthless because Sears Canada is closing.

Is your business showing early warning signals of financial problems? Are you scared that it too may have its own “Sears Canada is closing” scenario?

If you’re trying to find a way to reorganize your company’s financial debt, call Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. Don’t wait until it is too late and corporate bankruptcy is the only answer. If we meet with you early enough, we can develop a Sears Canada chapter 11 like restructuring and turnaround plan. The plan will be to save your company and the jobs of many people. It does not have to end in a “Sears Canada is closing” scenario.

Our technique for every person is to develop an outcome where Starting Over, Starting Now happens, beginning the minute you stroll in the door. You’re just one call away from taking the essential action steps to get back to leading a healthy and balanced stress and anxiety free life.

SEARS CANADA IS CLOSING 8
sears canada is closing

 

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Brandon Blog Post

BANK STAFF SALES TARGETS: WHAT CAN CANADIAN CONSUMERS DO TO PROTECT THEMSELVES?

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Bank staff sales targets: Introduction

All hell broke loose when the CBC’s Go Public exposed a wide-spread banking problem – bank staff sales targets. The report stated that tellers try to meet their bank staff sales goals by signing customers up for products and/or services that they may not need.

Bank staff sales targets: It isn’t just one bank!

Although this article focused on the employees of one Canadian Chartered Bank who initially came forward to Go Public, the problem caused by bank teller sales goals is rampant across the banking industry and has been for some time. And, in fact it’s a badly kept secret that this is a common practice at every bank.

After the story broke, employees from all five of Canada’s big banks came forward to Go Public with stories of how they are required to up sell, trick and even lie to customers to meet unrealistic sales targets and keep their jobs.

Bank staff sales targets: Meet the sales goals or get written up, or worse

This isn’t just hearsay or a smear campaign against the banking industry; documents obtained by Go Public show tellers who fail to reach their sales goals are called “underperformers” and placed on a “Performance Improvement Plan”. This Plan involves daily coaching and monitoring by managers.

If sales performance doesn’t improve, warnings are given to underperforming employees that “employment could be terminated.” Approximately 1,000 emails from RBC, BMO, CIBC, TD and Scotiabank employees described the pressures they were under to meet sales revenue targets while being monitored weekly, daily or hourly. The message was loud and clear – it doesn’t matter how you hit your numbers as long as you do.

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Bank staff sales targets: Who is most at risk from these sales tactics?

Unfortunately, as with most financial schemes, the most vulnerable are the ones most at risk from these bank teller sales targets. Seniors and new immigrants are most likely to believe advice from their bank without further analysis. However, in our increasing common sales culture, we’re all at risk. After all, if you can’t trust your own bank to manage your money, who can you trust?

Bank staff sales targets: What should consumers do to protect themselves?

The sad truth is that you can no longer assume that your bank is your trusted financial advisor and has your best interests at heart. Consumers need to be vigilant. If a teller or a financial services advisor recommends a product or service ask questions:

  • How much does it cost?
  • What are the fees?
  • Why do I need it?
  • What will the financial benefit be to me?

Bank staff sales targets: Just say no

Very importantly, consumers need to learn how to say no. Don’t be bullied into signing up for products and/or services that you don’t need because of bank staff sales targets. Clearly there needs to be more regulation in the banking industry and hopefully there is an investigation underway.

If you are experiencing debt issues for any reason please come to a professional trustee. We’re strictly licensed and we can’t profit from giving bad advice. The Ira Smith Team is here to help. Our commitment to you is to bring value added solutions that fit your unique issues and circumstances. Contact us today and Starting Over, Starting Now you can conquer debt.

 

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