Categories
Brandon Blog Post

THE HOUSEHOLD DEBT-TO-INCOME RATIO: HOW COVID-19 CHANGED THIS 1 SIMPLE EFFECTIVE MEASURE

We hope that you and your family are safe, healthy, and secure during this coronavirus pandemic.

Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. is absolutely operational and Ira, in addition to Brandon Smith, is readily available for a telephone consultation or video meeting.

Household debt-to-income ratio: Understanding the debt-to-income (DTI) ratio

Your household debt-to-income ratio indicates how much of your gross monthly income goes toward paying off your debt. In order to find your DTI ratio of household debt percentage, multiply the result by 100. The debt-to-income (DTI) ratio is a measure of how much income a person or organization generates in order to service household credit market debt.

Based on income, the household debt-to-income ratio, or as it is also called, the household debt service ratio, measures a family’s ability to pay monthly debt obligations. Divide the monthly debt obligations by the gross income to calculate the DTI ratio.

When considering a mortgage or loan, the household debt-to-income ratio is a critical metric. You may find it more difficult to get a mortgage if your household debt-to-income ratio is high, or you may end up getting smaller loan approval. Your household debt-to-income ratio is calculated using your income, debt, and credit (mortgage) accounts.

I wrote a blog almost one year ago on the Canadian household debt-to-income ratio at that time. At the time of the COVID-19 pandemic, I discussed what happened to the household debt of Canadians.

I provide an update one year after discussing a recent report by Statistics Canada about the household debt-to-income ratio in Canada during the fourth quarter of 2021.

Household debt-to-income ratio: Debt-to-income ratio example

Here is an easy-to-understand example. Sally is looking to get a loan and is trying to figure out her household debt-to-income ratio. Sally’s monthly bills and income are as follows:

  • monthly mortgage debt payment (P+I): $1,000
  • monthly auto loan payments: $500
  • credit card debt monthly payment: $500
  • household gross monthly income: $6,000
  • Sally’s total monthly debt payment is $2,000:
  • Sally’s household debt service ratio is 0.33:
  • 0.33 x 100 = In other words, Sally has a 33% household debt-to-income ratio.household debt-to-income ratio

Household debt-to-income ratio: Pre-pandemic debt pressures

Prior to the pandemic, household debt Canadians carried increased steadily. During the last decade, more and more Canadian homes carried debt. Canadian household debt-to-income ratio was 150% in 2012, according to Statistics Canada.

In other words, the increase in debt was rising at a rate of $1.50 for every dollar of income. A DTI ratio of 175.4% was reached in the first quarter of 2020. Before the pandemic, Statistics Canada estimates the household debt-to-income ratio was 181.1 percent.

Debt increases can negatively affect a household’s bottom line, and the larger the debt, the greater the negative impact.

The impact of COVID-19 on the household debt-to-income ratio in 2020: The temporary income boom of 2020 supported Canada’s household debt.

Even if the federal and provincial government financial income support payments given to Canadians through the COVID-19 Economic Response Plan aren’t considered an income surge, it is an income rise.

Fndings released by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) in November 2020 showed that the government assistance did help Canadians cope with their household debt.

In the CMHC report, the following were the key findings in Canada:

  • By the end of Q2 2020, Canada’s household debt ratio is 17% lower than Q1’s 158%.
  • Likewise, the home mortgage DTI ratio fell from 115% to 105%.
  • A rise in household disposable income caused these declines.
  • The amount of outstanding household debt in Canada did not change.

Canada’s household disposable income increased by almost 11% between Q1 and Q2 of 2020 and by 15% year over year. The extra cash doled out by governments caused this. This new cash in bank accounts was not from greater household savings.

After the government temporarily transferred money to Canadian families, the household debt-to-income ratio declined to the lowest level since 2010.

Household debt-to-income ratio: Uncertainty in household debt during the second wave of COVID-19

During the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the financial situation of Canadians had changed significantly. Especially in the financial real estate industry, the DTI ratio is an indication of financial obligations as a vulnerability.

The Canadian financial institutions stopped deferring mortgage payments at the same time. Even with the then extremely low-interest mortgage rates on mortgage loans, this obviously led to concerns about Canadians’ ability to make their mortgage payments. Other government assistance programs ended.

With the end of government support programs that temporarily boosted monthly household income, Canadians faced uncertainty about how they will be able to carry and pay down their household debt.

In the second quarter of 2021, the household debt-to-income ratio of Canadians decreased in all significant Canadian cities. Normally, such a decline would indicate a general improvement in families’ monthly income, their ability to afford monthly payments and pay off financial debt, be it mortgage debt service or consumer debt such as auto loans and credit card debt service.

Subsidies from the federal government effectively helped households to pay off debt. Canadians were more than likely able to lower their non-mortgage debt during those months. However, the mortgage component of Canadian household debt has increased in the majority of metropolitan areas while employment has decreased.

household debt-to-income ratio

Canada household debt-to-income ratio: What my predictions of financial challenges for 2021 were

I predicted that as the economy recovers from the economic effects of the Coronavirus, Canadians will be facing a great financial challenge. As a result of the COVID19 pandemic crisis, Canada’s economy pretty much stopped.

Many Canadian families have experienced extensive income losses as a result of this. For those who are heavily indebted, this is particularly true. A key concern with regard to financial stability is whether homes can keep up with their financial obligations. A financial crisis may very well befall highly indebted Canadians.

Bank of Canada was concerned about the financial challenges that Canadians will face in 2021. Can Canadian homes withstand the storm? The answer lies with:

  • household financial health as of February 2020;
  • the effectiveness of the Canadian Government’s recovery support measures and policy activities; and
  • the pace of the labour market’s recovery.

As the economy recovers, the Bank of Canada looks at a variety of household debt factors. Those with greater financial vulnerability are of particular concern. Some factors that will cause concern among the Bank of Canada are:

  • The homeowners with few financial safeguards.
  • Although it does provide a financial reserve, home equity lines of credit are also associated with increased borrowing.
  • Will the government’s fiscal policy help support Canadians until incomes recover to pre-pandemic levels or exceed them?
  • In some cases, unemployment rates may not be a reliable indicator of household revenue losses.

We have entered the first quarter of 2022, so let’s see how the economy and Canadians fared in 2021.

Statistics Canada says household debt-to-income ratio hit a record high in Q4

In the fourth quarter of 2021, household disposable income declined as housing prices, housing costs, and mortgage borrowing rose, according to Statistics Canada. As a percentage of disposable income, financial markets saw that household credit market debt rose to 186.2 percent in the fourth quarter, up from 180.4 percent in the third quarter. Credit market debt accounted for $1.86 of household disposable income for every dollar of disposable income.

Consumer credit market debt rose by 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter, while consumer disposable income decreased by 1.3 percent. Household debt increased by $50.0 billion seasonally adjusted in the fourth quarter. A total of $46.3 billion was attributed to mortgages, while $3.7 billion was attributed to non-mortgage loans.

Household debt service ratios increased in the 2021 4th quarter, measured as total obligated payments of principal and interest on credit market debt as a percentage of disposable income. The ratio stood at 184.7 percent in the third quarter of 2018, and the previous record high was 181.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Canada household-debt-to-income ratio summary

I hope you enjoyed this household debt-to-income ratio Brandon Blog post. Are you worried because you or your business are dealing with substantial debt challenges and you assume bankruptcy is your only option? Call me. It is not your fault that you remain in this way. You have actually been only shown the old ways to try to deal with financial issues. These old ways do not work anymore.

Ira Smith Team utilizes new modern-day ways to get you out of your debt difficulties while avoiding bankruptcy. We can get you the relief you need and so deserve.

The tension put upon you is big. We know your discomfort factors. We will check out your entire situation and design a new approach that is as unique as you and your problems; financial and emotional. We will take the weight off of your shoulders and blow away the dark cloud hanging over you. We will design a debt settlement strategy for you. We know that we can help you now.

We understand that people and businesses facing financial issues need a realistic lifeline. There is no “one solution fits all” method with the Ira Smith Team. Not everyone has to file bankruptcy in Canada. The majority of our clients never do. We help many people and companies stay clear of bankruptcy.

That is why we can establish a new restructuring procedure for paying down debt that will be built just for you. It will be as one-of-a-kind as the economic issues and discomfort you are encountering. If any one of these seems familiar to you and you are serious about getting the solution you need, contact the Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. group today Call us now for a no-cost consultation We will get you or your business back up driving to healthy and balanced trouble-free operations and get rid of the discomfort factors in your life, Starting Over, Starting Now.

We hope that you and your family are remaining safe, healthy and secure during this current pandemic.

Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. is absolutely operational and Ira, in addition to Brandon Smith, is readily available for a telephone consultation or video meeting.

household debt-to-income ratio

Categories
Brandon Blog Post

IS MORTGAGE DEBT NOW THE OBSESSION FOR MANY CANADIANS?

We hope that you and your family are safe, healthy and secure during this COVID-19 pandemic.

Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. is absolutely operational and Ira, in addition to Brandon Smith, is readily available for a telephone consultation or video meeting.

Is mortgage debt surge responsible for pushing Canadian consumer debt levels higher?

For many people in Canada, a house is the centre of the family’s financial world. As a result, if the family’s financial situation changes, the house, and the mortgage that goes with it, become the focus of the family.

Is mortgage debt pressing consumer financial debt higher in Canada?

Equifax Canada recently reported that it is. One effect of the pandemic is that Canadian credit card usage and debt are dropping, as families borrow more cash right for their homes while spending less on everything else.

In this Brandon Blog, I offer some thoughts on why is mortgage debt rising, pushing total Canadian consumer debt above pre-pandemic levels, while credit card debts are falling during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Is mortgage debt surge pushing Canada consumer debt to $2.1 trillion?

Those in the real estate sector in Canada will certainly agree that the housing market is one of the greatest financial factors that influence the success of the Canadian economy. These days, the sector is exceptionally competitive which has a great influence on the housing market.

Competition among residential real estate buyers is fierce in many markets throughout the nation, especially British Columbia and Ontario. The pandemic has actually stimulated a record boom in Canada’s housing market. Low rates of interest, as well as brand-new demand for a larger home, have actually sustained bidding battles for houses.

What’s behind the record-breaking growth in the hot housing market in Canada? Is mortgage debt behind the increase in mortgage debt? Yes, according to Statistics Canada. It stated last Friday that Canadian families incurred a new high level of mortgage debt in the 2nd quarter in a row. Canadian households added record mortgage debt amid low interest, high prices.

Driving hot markets in many regions aided move real estate prices and the average sale price higher, pushing the need for home loans to $34.9 billion in the 4th quarter of 2020. This need beat the previous high of $28.7 billion in the 3rd quarter, Statistics Canada reported.

is mortgage debt
is mortgage debt

Is mortgage debt growth making Canada’s economy vulnerable? The central bank says yes

What is the Bank of Canada‘s worries? The Bank of Canada said that growing mortgage debt makes Canada’s economy vulnerable.

High household debt, as well as inequalities in the real estate market, have escalated in the past 12 months, leaving the economy more prone to economic shocks. The central bank said that although consumer debt had actually dropped in early 2020, a boost in housing debt has more than balanced out that decrease, with total household debt climbing sharply since mid-2020.

That is one reason why, effective June 1, 2021, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI, Canada’s leading financial regulatory authority, elevated the home mortgage stress test level for mortgage applications through banks, insurance companies and credit unions. It does not yet apply to private mortgages.

The stress test was raised so that borrowers must now be able to meet the financial test to carry a mortgage at an annual interest rate of either 5.25 percent or 2 points over the actual mortgage market rate they can get, whichever is greater. This will certainly make it harder for some to get approved for a home mortgage. The government hopes this will lead to reducing the pool of accepted borrowers as well as eventually, lowering residence rates.

The June 1 adjustment implies potential mortgagors will certainly need to prove that their finances can stand paying at that greater interest rate, no matter what rate a lender is willing to lend at. OSFI hopes that this adjustment will reduce either the number of buyers or the amount a purchaser can afford to pay given the mortgage financing available to them. The hope is that it will stem the higher pressure on house prices in the country.

Is mortgage debt the only reason Canadian household debt is so high?

As you can see from the above, mortgage debt is up but credit card debt is down. in fact, it is at a 6 year low. So is mortgage debt the only reason total household debt is up? When I speak of mortgage debt, I am talking about conventional mortgage debt. The answer is no.

Equifax Canada also reports that other big-ticket credit products like credit lines have likewise represented a general increase in Canadian financial debt. She said there was a 60 percent rise in house equity credit lines! Like mortgage debt, this is a secured debt registered against the borrower’s home.

People are borrowing these additional home equity lines of credit. The worry is if rates of interest rise, individuals may not be able to pay the debt servicing costs and the debt payments for that financial obligation. Those kinds of loans are usually at a variable interest rate.

is mortgage debt
is mortgage debt

My take on why is mortgage debt and other household debt driving in these directions?

It wasn’t an interest rate boost that forced Canadians to get consumer spending in check – it took a pandemic for many of us to transform our spending practices. Stay-at-home orders, lockdowns, nowhere to go and fewer places to spend our money have all contributed to what we are now seeing. Couple that with many Canadians being able to work from home and Canada’s COVID-19 Economic Response Plan.

Consumer spending shifted away from credit card spending. My personal view is that people’s spending patterns shifted away from consumer goods that normally would be charged to credit cards. Perhaps some of the increase in home equity lines of credit was to consolidate debt by borrowing against their homes to pay down high rate credit card debt.

Also, people were hunkered down working, going to school and generally living 24/7 in their homes. We all got to see the points we love about our home and perhaps noticed for the first time, or at least were bothered for the first time, with little imperfections in our homes. That could lead to increased borrowing in order to do additions or renovations.

It also could lead to selling the existing home and buying a different one and moving. Maybe that drove more demand than there was supply, which caused home prices to continue rising. Increased pricing required increased mortgage application numbers, mortgage borrowing, the individual size of mortgages to increase and drove total mortgage growth. Perhaps FOMO also contributed to the increased demand.

This is merely conjecture on my part, but one thing is for sure. The pandemic could not stop house prices from rising, mortgage debt from increasing and credit card debt from reducing. Overall, household debt increased. The worry now is if interest rates rise, it will take a larger proportion of household income to meet debt servicing requirements. Hopefully, everyone’s household budget will be able to handle it.

Is mortgage debt now the focus for many Canadians?

Apparently so. I hope that you found this Is mortgage debt now the obsession for many Canadians Brandon Blog interesting. If you are concerned because you or your business are dealing with substantial debt challenges and you assume bankruptcy is your only option, call me.

It is not your fault that you remain in this way. You have actually been only shown the old ways to try to deal with financial issues. These old ways do not work anymore.

The Ira Smith Team utilizes new modern-day ways to get you out of your debt difficulties while avoiding bankruptcy. We can get you the relief you need and so deserve. Our professional advice will create for you a personalized debt-free plan for you or your company during our no-cost initial consultation.

The tension put upon you is big. We know your discomfort factors. We will check out your entire situation and design a new approach that is as unique as you and your problems; financial and emotional. We will take the weight off of your shoulders and blow away the dark cloud hanging over you. We will design a debt settlement strategy for you. We know that we can help you now.

We understand that people and businesses facing financial issues need a realistic lifeline. There is no “one solution fits all” method with the Ira Smith Team. Not everyone has to file bankruptcy in Canada. The majority of our clients never do. We help many people and companies stay clear of bankruptcy.

That is why we can establish a new restructuring procedure for paying down debt that will be built just for you. It will be as one-of-a-kind as the economic issues and discomfort you are encountering. If any one of these seems familiar to you and you are serious about getting the solution you need to become debt-free, contact the Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. group today.

Call us now for a no-cost consultation.

We hope that you and your family are safe, healthy and secure during this COVID-19 pandemic.

Ira Smith Trustee & Receiver Inc. is absolutely operational and Ira, in addition to Brandon Smith, is readily available for a telephone consultation or video meeting.

is mortgage debt
is mortgage debt
Call a Trustee Now!